• Bitcoin Poised For Major Breakout

• Bitcoin Will Hit $1M

• The AI Crypto Revolution Ahead

Market Data Prices as of 4:00am ET

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BITCOIN POISED FOR MAJOR BREAKOUT

The market is exhibiting a classic setup before a major breakout, with volatility, profitability, and trading behaviors signaling a buildup of potential energy.

That’s the latest from a research report released by 21st Capital.

Key Indicators:

Volatility Spread: is a crucial metric that helps assess market expectations versus actual price movements.

It compares realized volatility (actual price fluctuations) to implied volatility (future expectations of volatility priced into options).

This spread reveals whether traders are overestimating or underestimating risk, often signaling major market moves ahead.

At -34.3%, implying that realized volatility is significantly outpacing implied volatility, suggesting an impending major move similar to previous periods in Bitcoin’s history:

SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio): is an on-chain metric used to measure the profitability of Bitcoin transactions.

It calculates whether the coins being spent on a given day are being moved at a profit or a loss relative to their original purchase price.

What we see below is a reset to a neutral 1.0 after six months of profitability, indicating indecision and potential demand fatigue, prevailing—a textbook "calm before the storm" scenario.

Realized Losses & Profits: track the amount of Bitcoin sold at a price higher than its original purchase cost.

When long-term holders start locking in gains, it can create selling pressure that slows price growth—unless new buyers step in to absorb the supply.

• A total of $628M in realized profits was recorded, with:

  • $330M (52%) coming from investors who exited with over 100% gains.

  • $203M (32%) from those selling after gaining over 300%.

• These sellers likely bought Bitcoin at much lower levels—around $42K or even $28K—and are now taking profits into strength.

This indicates that seasoned investors are gradually distributing their holdings, reducing their exposure while securing significant returns.

If new buyers fail to absorb this selling pressure, it could limit bullish momentum.

• Compressed Volatility: Similar to a coiling spring, the market is primed for a sharp move once a new catalyst emerges.

• Demand Weakness: New buyers lack conviction, while early investors are locking in gains.

• Macro Impact: The market’s direction will hinge on economic factors, such as U.S. trade policies and recession concerns.

Conclusion:
The market is at a temporary equilibrium, awaiting a catalyst.

A positive macroeconomic shift could drive an upward trend, while renewed recession fears could trigger a downturn.

The next move is expected to be sharp and decisive.

Make sure you take a moment to read the full report.

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BITCOIN WILL HIT $1M

💥 Bitcoin is on a historic path to $1 million per coin this year, and Wall Street giants will have no choice but to embrace it.

That’s the latest projection from Samson Mow, CEO of Jan3.

History repeats itself—Bitcoin has surged 17x in past cycles, and when financial systems crack, they don’t slow down.

They shatter overnight. Samson Mow emphasizes that Bitcoin’s growth has no upper boundary.

When fiat currencies fall, the collapse is sudden and irreversible—as seen with hyperinflation in Weimar Germany.

The IMF, central banks, and global financial institutions see Bitcoin’s rise as an existential threat.

Without monetary control, they lose their power.

The choice is clear: adapt or vanish. The biggest shift in Bitcoin’s history is about to happen, and only those who prepare will thrive.

Don’t miss this video, where Samson Mow shares shocking predictions about the future of crypto!

THE AI CRYPTO REVOLUTION

Remember when AI agents were the hottest topic last year?

The hype was through the roof, returns were insane, and FOMO was at an all-time high.

So, it’s no shock that AI dominated the end of 2024.

Crypto Narrative Returns in 2024:

The 10 biggest AI tokens skyrocketed by an unbelievable 2,940% (nearly 30x!), outpacing even the memecoin frenzy, which “only” returned 2,185%.

Timing the market perfectly is impossible, but these numbers prove how powerful crypto narratives can be when they take off. 🔥

This AI explosion was mainly fueled by the rise of AI agents and their broader ecosystem, including:

• AI-themed memecoins

• Launchpads for AI agent tokens

• Frameworks to develop and customize AI agents

The AI crypto space is rapidly evolving, with several core categories emerging:

• AI-Native Blockchains: Networks like Bittensor and NEAR designed for AI-powered operations and machine learning.

• Decentralized Computing: Platforms like ICP, Golem, and Akash offering distributed computing for AI model training.

• Data Management: Solutions like The Graph and Filecoin structuring blockchain data for AI applications.

• AI Services: Marketplaces like SingularityNET and Fetch.ai providing access to AI-powered solutions.

• Specialized Infrastructure: Projects like Render (GPU rendering), Oasis (privacy computation), and Theta (content distribution).

Many projects tried to capitalize on the AI wave, but one category stood out: AI agents.

✍ AI agents are digital assistants with a key difference—they don’t just follow instructions, they think, learn, and adapt.

Unlike traditional AI models that simply respond to prompts, these agents take autonomous actions—from web searches to booking appointments, trading assets, and even content creation.

👉 We’re only beginning to explore the full potential of AI agents, but their role in the future of the internet is undeniable.

And it’s not just us—many believe the true value lies in the software that powers their creation, tokenization, and management.

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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.